Week beginning 9th November 2026

Abstract: Foundation models pretrained on large natural-image collections are increasingly adapted for medical image segmentation, in the expectation that they will replace models trained for each task. Most comparisons, however, use data from the training distribution and a single task-specific baseline whose configuration is rarely justified, and therefore provide limited evidence of performance at new clinical sites. It also remains unclear how much of a foundation model must be adapted, and what determines this. We adapted a foundation model, DINOv2, with strategies ranging from tuning only its bias terms to full fine-tuning, and compared it with U-Nets and ResU-Nets trained from scratch. Experiments covered colonoscopy, breast ultrasound and dermoscopy, with testing on held-out data from the training source and on independent datasets from other institutions. The adapted foundation model generalised better on every external dataset. Within the training distribution, the task-specific models remained competitive when training data were abundant, and delineated boundaries more precisely, while the foundation model more often missed small lesions. Only a small fraction of the foundation model required adaptation, and the capacity needed was determined by the imaging domain rather than by the adaptation method. A widely used polyp test set was also found to duplicate images from another benchmark. Foundation-model adaptation is therefore warranted where models must work across sites, with capacity selected on the target domain.

Abstract: DeepLearning (DL)-based Computer-Aided Diagnostic (CAD) systems have shown great promise in supporting clinicians, but their performance heavily depends on the availability of large, well-annotated datasets. In medical lesion detection, the scarcity of comprehensive, stan dardized annotations and the heterogeneity of existing datasets limit the development of robust foundation models. In this work, we introduce a novel approach to building a multi-domain foundation model for le sion detection by integrating diverse medical image datasets annotated for both anatomical structures and abnormalities. We first propose a student-teacher training strategy to effectively combine datasets with heterogeneous label spaces, mitigating catastrophic forgetting, and im proving feature learning. In addition, building on our previously pro posed example-based EM-DETR framework, we adapt it to jointly learn from multiple domain-specific datasets, enabling fine-grained, example driven detection across modalities. Our model achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) results, with image-level AUC scores exceeding previous SOTA by 1% point on four key findings in CXRs. We achieve a leading mAP50 in CXRs and mammography, surpassing EM-DETR trained on a single dataset by 2-3% points. This approach paves the way for scalable foundation models in medical imaging that leverage heterogeneous data while maintaining robust and generalizable performance.

Abstract: We present TorchCurves, a PyTorch library that treats vector-valued parametric curves as learnable primitives. Its central operation maps batches of scalar inputs to points on curves represented in B-spline or Legendre polynomial bases, with differentiation through both inputs and coefficients. Curve coefficients can be optimized jointly with the surrounding model or produced by another network. The library provides trainable modules, reusable basis modules, and a functional interface, supporting applications ranging from continuous feature embeddings to Kolmogorov-Arnold networks and functional regression. Its implementation combines classical evaluation algorithms with vectorized PyTorch operations, emphasizing readability and maintainability without custom hardware kernels. Timing experiments compare curve evaluation against NumPy and SciPy and KAN training against EfficientKAN across a range of problem sizes. The results illustrate where this generality remains computationally practical and where overhead is substantial. Library is available on GitHub at https://github.com/alexshtf/torchcurves.

Abstract: Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) produces rich training experience, yet outcome rewards reduce each attempt to a single number and leave most of this information unused. Training-time scaffolds, such as strategies or hints added to the prompt during training, offer a natural way to turn this information into guidance, but their design and adaptation are largely left to humans and tailored to specific domains. We introduce AutoScaffold, a unified AI-for-AI framework that turns a student's training experience into adaptive scaffolds, with minimal domain-specific information and no human intervention during training. A frozen teacher periodically examines this experience, diagnoses bottlenecks, and designs scaffolds in two forms: (i) strategies shared across a class of tasks and (ii) hints for individual hard tasks, adjusting the content and amount of support as the student learns. The scaffolds are removed at evaluation. We apply the same framework to ALFWorld, search-based QA, mathematical reasoning, and GPU kernel generation. When evaluated without scaffolds, students trained with AutoScaffold outperform those trained with the corresponding RL baselines in all four domains, with gains of 7.2 points in ALFWorld success and 4.0 points in average QA exact match. On GPU kernel generation, AutoScaffold increases the fraction of tasks with a correct kernel that runs faster than the PyTorch reference by up to 5.0 points. On math, our student surpasses QuestA's reported accuracy using approximately one-third as many student training steps. Analyses show that the teacher identifies a different failure in each task class and shifts its scaffolds from step-by-step workflows to targeted fixes as the student improves, and that its revised scaffolds help the student learn more than keeping the previous scaffold or using no scaffold.

Abstract: LLM agents are increasingly used for open-ended, data-driven scientific discovery, yet most of them evaluate hypotheses pointwise, testing an empirical claim $h$ only against its complement $\neg h$. When evidence rejects $h$, the agent learns that one explanation is unlikely but not which alternative the evidence supports. To recover that alternative, we introduce Contrastive Discovery, which replaces the single hypothesis with a contrast set, a scientific question paired with mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive competing explanations. Each experiment is scored by how its evidence redistributes belief across the set, and the question is resolved when belief concentrates on one explanation. Because contrast sets change only the unit an agent proposes and scores, an existing agent can use them to re-evaluate evidence it has already collected or to guide its search. Across six domains, $89\%$ of the pointwise candidates with the largest belief shifts are rejections. On the same evidence, contrast sets resolve $73\%$ of these candidates to a specific alternative. When contrast sets guide search, the agent resolves $67\%$ more questions than pointwise surprisal under the same experiment budget. In a blinded study, $38$ human experts chose the same explanation on $78\%$ of resolved questions and on $82\%$ of questions where the pointwise agent rejected its hypothesis and stopped. Together, these results support explicit competing explanations as a way for discovery agents to resolve more scientific questions from the same evidence and validation budget.

Abstract: We study online coloring, focusing on the competitive ratio. The best previously known results were (1) a lower bound of $Ω(n / \log^2 n)$ for both deterministic and randomized algorithms by Halldórsson and Szegedy (1994), (2) an upper bound of $O(n / \log n)$ for randomized algorithms by Halldórsson (1997), and (3) an upper bound of $O(n / \log \log n)$ for deterministic algorithms by Kawarabayashi, Yoneda, and Yoneda (2025). In this paper, we improve these results as follows: 1. A new lower bound of $Ω(n / \log n)$ for deterministic algorithms. 2. A new upper bound of $O(n (\log \log n)^2 / \log^2 n)$ for randomized algorithms. 3. A new upper bound of $O(n / (\log \log n)^{2-\varepsilon})$ for deterministic algorithms for every fixed $\varepsilon>0$. For randomized algorithms, we nearly close the gap between the lower and upper bounds; the remaining gap is only $O((\log \log n)^2)$. We establish the asymptotic separation between randomized and deterministic online graph coloring. Against an oblivious adversary, a polynomial-time randomized algorithm achieves a competitive ratio asymptotically smaller than any deterministic algorithm can guarantee, even with unlimited computation.

Abstract: Predicting how a ligand binds to its target is central to small-molecule drug discovery. Modern cofolding models can generate diverse candidate poses, but reliably ranking these candidates remains challenging. We introduce Pyrite, a pairwise pose-ranking benchmark comprising 1,500 pose pairs across diverse protein-ligand complexes. Expert chemists equipped with 3D visualization tools and physics-based scores perform near chance, highlighting the difficulty of interpreting available chemical signals. To investigate automated ranking, we introduce PyriteRep, a structured representation of molecular geometry, protein-ligand interactions, and physicochemical scores, and develop two LLM-based agents: PyriteReasoner, which directly compares poses through text-based reasoning, and PyriteFeaturizer, which generates executable code to construct features for logistic regression, optionally incorporating features derived from LLM subcalls. These agents achieve up to 67% and 74% accuracy, respectively, exceeding observed expert performance. LLM-guided feature discovery generally outperforms direct reasoning, while Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) improves open-weight models, enabling them to match or surpass closed-source frontier models in our evaluations. These results establish Pyrite as a challenging test of pose-ranking ability and highlight LLM-guided feature discovery as a promising approach to interpret and combine the outputs of computational chemistry tools.

Abstract: We study the allocation of indivisible items to buyers with additive values drawn from independent distributions. The objective is consumer surplus net of burnt payments. We consider artificial-currency mechanisms: buyers receive personalized budgets of a currency worthless outside the mechanism and use them to bid across items. The better of separate selling and artificial-currency mechanisms provides a 3-approximation to optimal consumer surplus. The guarantee holds at every Bayes--Nash equilibrium, without equilibrium selection. Both branches are necessary: either alone may capture only a vanishing share of the optimum. The proof decomposes benchmark surplus into a stable part captured by artificial currency and a variation covered by separate selling.

Abstract: Connectome-constrained models are often used to argue that a measured wiring diagram outperforms shuffled or rewired wiring, and hence that structure shapes function. Such comparisons can confound wiring with how the models are tuned: a connectome fixes who connects to whom, not the excitability, gains or plasticity rates the model also needs, and modellers often tune these until the real-wiring model works. We separate three estimands: physiology tuned on the real wiring and transferred to nulls (P1), each wiring tuned on its own (P2), and P2 restricted to physiology consistent with independent data (P3). The biases involved are known in machine learning (under-tuned baselines, inherited weights, winner's curse); we measure what they do to biological conclusions, using synthetic ground truth, placebo nulls and three Drosophila circuit models. Some claims survive every protocol we test: segregated reward and punishment dopamine improves learning, and head-direction topography is required for a persistent bump. Others do not. In the mushroom body, the real Kenyon-cell output wiring beats a cross-subtype identity shuffle by 0.09 under P1 and P2 but loses to it by 0.09 under P3 (95% CIs exclude zero; held-out runs confirm). The verdict is set by the share of alpha'beta' cells among active Kenyon cells, which P1 selects low; at the share implied by imaging (about 44%) the real-wiring model fails to learn, exposing a model inadequacy rather than a deficit of the fly's wiring. In flyvis, P1 penalises a mirrored connectome, which has a constructed solution within 0.07 (median) of the real error, more than a spatially shuffled one in 50 of 50 members; the ranking survives ten-fold longer retraining but depends on the checkpoint at fifty-fold. A credible structural claim needs matched optimisation, data-constrained physiology and a model that still works there.

Abstract: Agent harnesses have emerged as a promising mechanism for continual learning, alongside test-time parametric learning. However, the current benchmarks have several limitations: they generally focus on a single applied domain, serve each instance only once, and assume a single family of learner, so memory-based and weight-based systems are rarely compared on the same scale. We propose Continual-ARC, a lifelong stream built from the three ARC-AGI editions, whose tasks need no domain knowledge. The same tasks return after dormant gaps with fresh instances, while new tasks keep arriving. On each instance, the learner may pay for demonstrations, submit answers, or act inside the harness, with retries permitted on incorrect submissions, which are paid for. Each instance is scored based on the share of this feedback budget consumed. Since a learner may keep anything between instances, memory-based and weight-based systems are scored on the same scale. After the stream, the learner is frozen and tested on fresh instances of the tasks it met, which measures memorization, and on unseen tasks, which measures generalization. We run an agent harness with frozen weights, with and without persistence, on Qwen3.5-9B and GLM-5.3 Flash, comparing them with two prompting floors, a program-induction method and Qwen3.5-9B's weights trained to imitate GLM-5.3 Flash. Persistence in the harness generally does not improve memorization unless provided with explicit expert guidance. Most harness-based methods still learn less than a floor that simply caches each task's demonstrations, across all models we tested. No harness-based method gains on unseen tasks, whereas weight-based learning shows substantial gains. This opens the door to future weight-based continual learning that could teach models to drive harnesses in new domains.

Abstract: Foundation models trained on large unlabeled corpora develop emergent capabilities, tasks that go beyond the training objective. We extend this paradigm to multimodal biology with Bonbon, a foundation model for molecular interactions trained on approximately 3.2 trillion tokens of paired protein-ligand sequences. From a single representation space, Bonbon exhibits three zero-shot emergent capabilities at hierarchical levels of resolution: functional (mechanism of action), residue (binding site localization, including orthosteric/allosteric discrimination), and bond (covalent versus non-covalent engagement). All three capabilities generalize to out-of-distribution complexes. Bonbon was trained on protein-ligand sequences alone, without any task-specific supervision and without structural coordinates. We conducted controlled scaling experiments across six model scales from 42M to 1.6B parameters; every capability evaluated shows a sharp jump at the largest scale on continuous metrics, even as pretraining loss decreases smoothly. This demonstrates that loss-based scaling laws alone are insufficient to predict when zero-shot emergent capabilities become available. The capabilities reported here emerge after training at a 1:2,000 parameter-to-token ratio to accommodate the sparsity of paired biological interaction data. The same frozen representations achieve state-of-the-art binding and affinity prediction at five orders of magnitude greater speed than co-folding methods. In prospective wet-lab validation across nine disease targets spanning seven protein families, Bonbon achieves a 61.5% dose-response hit rate on de novo compounds, yielding structurally novel molecules not previously reported to inhibit these proteins, including for out-of-distribution targets.

Abstract: Characterizing how people move through a city requires spatially and temporally fine-grained data that are often costly and difficult to obtain. Here, we introduce a computational framework that uses macroscopic, aggregated, and static urban data to construct a microscopic, dynamic, and spatially detailed representation of urban mobility. Building on an existing activity simulator, the framework combines a synthetic population, the built environment, and transport networks to generate daily trips and assign walking, car, or public transit. Applied to approximately 475,000 synthetic residents of Niterói, Brazil, simulated neighborhood-level transit patterns show a strong association with an empirical activity proxy (Pearson r=0.885). Walking is more prevalent in compact central areas, car use increases toward the periphery, and public-transit use remains comparatively high along bus corridors. Reducing walking times to and from bus stops by 30% increases the modeled public-transit-to-car ratio by 11.3%, with larger transit-share gains in several peripheral areas. These results reveal spatial differences in transportation choice and identify where improved transit access may have the greatest modeled effect.

Abstract: Biological visual systems compute reliably under tight metabolic and wiring constraints, whereas artificial vision systems consume far more energy and can be sensitive to adversarial perturbations. Whether networks with brain-like wiring are more robust at lower computational cost is unclear. We address this by benchmarking a task-optimized, continuous-time recurrent neural network of the fly visual system constrained by its synaptic connectome (FlyNet) against artificial neural networks. We compare it against CNNs, RAFT, and continuous-time recurrent neural networks without detailed connectome constraints (sCTRNN, CTRNN) on a collision-detection task within a differentiable 3D rendering pipeline. FlyNet is adversarially vulnerable but, relative to its compute, more robust to common video corruptions than RAFT, while using up to five orders of magnitude fewer FLOPs. The CTRNNs remain more robust than FlyNet across almost all tested perturbations, suggesting that connectome constraints benefit efficiency, through their low edge count, over robustness. Recurrence improves robustness to white-box attacks in RAFT and temporal context improves robustness to common corruptions. FlyNet's position and velocity representations degrade under adversarial textures but recover under counterfactual textures that restore correct classification while staying equally far from training, ruling out unfamiliar textures as the cause of failure. The reverse-phi illusion similarly disrupts these representations and inverts the same low-level motion statistic as the adversarial textures. Optimizing this input statistic alone, without access to the network, suffices to induce classification failure, attributing both perturbations to the same circuit vulnerability. Connectome-constrained models can thus surface adversarial failure mechanisms as testable hypotheses about biological perceptual vulnerabilities.

Abstract: Cross-sensor remote sensing image retrieval aims to find scenes with the same content across heterogeneous sensors, such as SAR and optical or panchromatic (PAN) and multispectral (MS) imagery, without manual labels. Existing self-supervised methods either reconstruct sensor-specific pixel detail, align each image only with its co-registered twin, or rely on large transformers with 118-173M parameters (and up to 398M). We introduce RS-JEPA, a compact joint-embedding predictive framework built on a Vision Mamba encoder shared by both sensors. Since a state-space encoder reads an image as an ordered sequence of patches, we propose scan-path views, which treat two reading orders of the same image as two views with identical pixels and predict the hidden patches in one order from the visible patches in the other.To keep this prediction challenging, we propose Adversarial View Coupling (AVC), which learns the hardest split of the visible patches, and a neighbourhood consensus loss that aligns the scene similarities of both sensors. Extensive experiments on SAR-optical (BEN-14K, CBRSIR-VS) and PAN-MS (DSRSID) benchmarks demonstrate that RS-JEPA achieves the highest F1@5 among twelve re-implemented methods (72.92, 80.35 and 94.43) with a retrieval network of only 3.88M parameters (14.57M in training, 8-16times fewer than prior JEPA retrievers). Like prior methods, RS-JEPA trains on co-registered pairs. Our results highlight reading order as a source of self-supervised views. code: https://github.com/Tanishq251/RSJEPA.

Abstract: Skipping zero activations saves multiplications in CNN accelerators, but it complicates accumulation: the products in a compressed input window belong to different output columns and must be merged. In our earlier engine, this merging was done by read-modify-write (RMW) of a row buffer, which made sparse inputs slower than dense ones even at 87% sparsity. Existing designs either merge kernel rows through RMW or reduce bank conflicts with extra hardware, without eliminating them. SkipLane makes the entire accumulation path write-once. Each kernel row is processed in its own lane, which holds partial sums in three registers and retires up to three finished columns per cycle into memory banks that cannot conflict. Lanes and input channels are summed only at readout, so no partial sum is ever read back. Multipliers left idle by zero weights compute a second filter in the same pass. In RTL simulation, the engine stays within 0.5% of its frontend bound up to 70% sparsity and is 1.10-1.26$\times$ faster than an SCNN-style scatter accumulator with 18 banks and ideal RMW at 50-80% sparsity. Six engines meet 140 MHz on a PYNQ-Z2 using 21.1k LUTs and run LeNet-5 bit-exact on the board. For conv1, the engine needs 1.94$\times$ fewer cycles than a dense engine (1.26$\times$ faster end to end); for conv2, whose rows are only 13 pixels wide, it reaches 0.87$\times$ the dense speed.

Abstract: Deploying LLM-based analytics agents in enterprise settings requires evaluation frameworks that can reliably detect failures across complex, multi-tool workflows. We present a three-phase comparative study of three evaluation frameworks, each representing a distinct evaluation paradigm (trace-based LLM judging, text-only LLM judging with red-teaming, and deterministic heuristics), applied to two analytics agents in a controlled research setting using frozen execution traces. Phase 1 quantifies evaluation harness stability through repeated measurements, finding that 97% of configurations meet the stability threshold and that stability patterns are agent-independent. Phase 2 measures known risk detection on 72 ground-truth test cases, where the trace-based framework achieves the best precision-recall balance (F1=0.90) while text-only evaluation matches on recall but generates 5x more false alarms. Phase 3 evaluates unknown risk discovery, uncovering 24 novel failures with zero overlap between functional testing and security red-teaming. Our results demonstrate that (1) the information available to the evaluation harness determines evaluation quality, (2) functional and security evaluation are complementary, and (3) LLM-based evaluation harnesses surface subtle errors that human reviewers miss. We recommend a two-framework strategy: trace-based evaluation for functional assessment and adversarial red-teaming for security validation.

Abstract: Business process automation runs the same Standard Operating Procedure (SOP) again and again on new inputs. Large Language Model (LLM) agents can follow an SOP written in natural language, but they call an LLM to choose every step of every run, which adds latency and cost at scale. We present ReTrace, which turns an SOP and a few logged agent runs into a reusable workflow in which code, not an LLM, selects the next step. The agent's reasoning, the explanation it writes with each tool call, often states why it took an action; the tool calls alone do not. ReTrace extracts the condition behind each step, merges these conditions across runs into a compact rule document, and generates an executable workflow from it. Only this last stage depends on the platform, so rule documents can be compiled for different orchestration platforms. On $79$ procedures from our production platform, ReTrace workflows reach $93.8\%$ completion, against $96.8\%$ for the agent, at $24\%$ lower cost per task. On $τ^2$-Bench, they reach $75.8\%$ task success (agent: $80.6\%$) and run in $1.3$s instead of $170$s; three rounds of repair on training failures lift $k{=}2$ workflows from $66.7\%$ to $81.2\%$. On eight SOP-Bench procedures, ReTrace without repair trails few-shot generation ($80.6\%$ vs. $83.6\%$), but repair from labeled training failures lifts it to $87.8\%$ at $0.40$s per task, compared to $85.5\%$ in $46.6$s for the agent.

Abstract: Time series analytics has been widely applied across various domains. While existing time series foundation models (TSFMs) have demonstrated promising results, they still face two major challenges: 1) Most TSFMs mainly rely on stacking Transformer layers to increase parameter size, lacking the ability to adaptively model complex time series patterns from multi-domain data. 2) Current TSFMs are primarily pre-trained for specific tasks, e.g., forecasting or anomaly detection, and a few models support multiple tasks, but they fail to fully leverage task specificity and commonality, resulting in suboptimal performance. To address these challenges, we propose TimeSeek, a novel generalized time series analytics model that adaptively models time series patterns from multi-domain data and unifies multiple tasks in pre-training. Conceptually, TimeSeek is guided by selective information sharing under domain and task heterogeneity. From the perspective of multi-domain data, we propose a Multi-Domain Feature Extractor that adaptively captures temporal dependencies and channel correlations based on domain-specific characteristics, including progressive multi-scale modeling and adaptive slot channel modeling. From the perspective of the diversity of tasks, we propose multi-task collaborative training, which leverages task specificity and task commonality through task customization and cross-task training, effectively unifying multiple tasks in pre-training and better adapting to diverse downstream scenarios. After pre-training on large-scale time series data, TimeSeek achieves state-of-the-art performance in forecasting, anomaly detection, and classification tasks across both few-shot learning and zero-shot situations, together with favorable inference efficiency.

Abstract: We prove that at least half of the first-best gains from trade can always be achieved in multidimensional two-sided markets with additive values and costs and arbitrary downward-closed feasibility constraints. The guarantee is achieved by a mechanism satisfying Bayesian incentive compatibility, interim individual rationality, and strong budget balance, and is tight already in single-item bilateral trade. Types are independent across agents, while the coordinates of each agent's type may be arbitrarily correlated. Feasibility constraints may couple trades across items and agents. This extends the known tight one-half guarantee for single-item bilateral trade. Our proof develops a new application of the Cai--Devanur--Weinberg duality framework. We show that the objective of every feasible dual is at least half of the first best. Strong duality then yields the guarantee without characterizing an optimal mechanism or dual. The key observation is that every feasible dual induces continuous-time Markov chains that, when stopped by exponential clocks, recover true types as expectations of virtual types. The dual constraints control the rate at which these chains change the prior distributions. We establish our bound by combining this control with a coupling of the agents' clocks.

Abstract: Memory-augmented vision-language-action (VLA) policies are meant to remember what happened. Many of them, however, fill memory by time: they sample frames uniformly across the episode and stamp each frame with its time step. Because time passes even when nothing happens, such a memory may not tell waiting from working. We show that it does not. On the counting tasks of RoboMME, we make the robot briefly pause or fidget its wrist. Such a null event changes nothing the task depends on, yet a released memory VLA counts the interval as work done and stops early. We call this failure phantom progress. It cuts success from 47 to 16 of 50 on one task and from 44 to 10 on the other. When the same frames are withheld from memory, success returns, so the cause lies in memory rather than in the interruption itself. We trace the failure to a temporal shortcut: because demonstrations proceed at a steady pace, elapsed time predicts progress. Indeed, rescaling the time stamps alone makes the policy stop early when the clock runs fast and repeat when it runs slow. Surprisingly, removing the time encoding does not cure the failure, because the frames of a null event still occupy slots of the time-sampled memory. Across RoboMME's released designs, vulnerability follows how memory is indexed. Of the fixes the diagnosis suggests, training with injected pauses does not remove the failure and impairs counting, whereas indexing memory by events recovers half or more of the loss without retraining. A memory meant to remember what happened should count events rather than clock ticks.

Abstract: Research ideation is iterative: researchers refine their ideas step by step based on feedback. Yet existing evaluations obscure this search process, making it difficult to understand how LLMs explore the space of research ideas and what limits their progress. We introduce Re-Search, which adapts the format of Twenty Questions to research ideation: given only the research problem of a published paper, a model must rediscover the paper's core idea by asking yes-or-no questions. Built from 200 ICML 2026 papers, Re-Search tracks how a model's idea evolves as it asks questions and receives binary oracle feedback, isolating ideation from execution. Across six recent LLMs, nearly all progress happens within the first 30 of 100 questions, which largely decide how the game ends; after that, most models plateau. Through controlled interventions on the candidate questions and the hypothesis space, we find that the bottleneck is generation, not judgment: models recognize a good idea or a good question when one is offered, but often cannot produce it on their own. We further analyze the ideation traces and find that models fail by either over-exploiting one direction or over-exploring too many. These findings point to concrete design principles for autoresearch systems: since models can judge candidates they cannot produce, enriching the search with externally sourced ideas and questions may be more effective than improving any single model's generation ability.

Abstract: Neural networks are increasingly studied not merely as predictive systems, but as complex systems whose internal computations are themselves objects of scientific inquiry. Recent progress in mechanistic interpretability (MI) has made it possible to identify neurons, features, circuits, population structures, and dynamical patterns associated with model behavior. As these tools improve, attention is shifting from what can be observed inside a model to how those observations support mechanistic explanations. We examine the parallel efforts of neuroscience and MI to address this question and identify recurring inferential bottlenecks when inferring mechanisms from complex neural systems. We propose five principles and organize them into a recursive logic for a more rigorous procedure of mechanistic inference. These principles provide a framework that supports scientific discovery in two senses: it helps turn local interpretability findings into cumulative knowledge of mechanisms within models, and it makes those mechanisms sufficiently precise to generate testable hypotheses about domains beyond the models. Evidence beyond MI is ultimately required to establish what model mechanisms reveal about the world.

Abstract: In this paper, we present 1020 Group's submission to the WMT26 shared task on automated quality evaluation. Our system, Pterodactyl, was engineered specifically for subtasks 2 and 3, that is, segment-level quality score prediction and the detection of error-free segments. Pterodactyl is a highly customizable, ultra-low cost system optimized for binary classification in translation triage and data curation. It is based on an LLM-as-a-judge approach, with prompt engineering and model selection guided by ROC analysis. We also developed several variants of Pterodactyl that were specifically adapted for subtasks 3.

Abstract: Text-to-SQL systems over large pooled catalogs must first retrieve the tables a question needs. We compare against the published table recall of RASL, which uses Claude 3.5 models to extract keywords and select tables, on pooled BIRD, Spider, and Fiben catalogs. FERN (Feature-Engineered Ranking with No generative LLM) instead fuses three frozen retrievers into 100 candidates, describes each with up to 120 features, and reorders them with LightGBM rankers fitted once on BIRD's training questions. On Spider, where it was not fitted, its candidate pool alone reaches RASL's published recall at fifteen tables (98.0), and the ranker raises the share of questions with every gold table in the top five (complete@5) from 83.9% to 95.6%. At five tables, FERN's recall is within one point of RASL's on Spider (96.7 vs 97.0) and on BIRD with its evidence hints (96.6 vs 97.5), and 8.2 points below on BIRD without them (89.3). On 121 real BEAVER questions, without BEAVER fitting, its recall at fifteen (82.1) falls between two BEAVER-trained retrievers (80.8, 84.5), but its complete@15 is below both (49.6 vs 54.5 and 62.0). On Fiben, it falls far short at fifteen tables (54.2 vs 69.2, different question sets), although its recall at fifty is numerically close to RASL's question-only retrieval result (80.7 vs 79.4). On BIRD dev with evidence, non-retrieval features raise complete@5 by 7.7 points over retrieval signals alone. On BIRD dev, median latency is 208 ms per question on one A100, without hosted model calls.

Abstract: Computer vision offers a scalable, non-contact means of estimating livestock traits, but correlated images and video frames make reliable evaluation difficult. Image-random splitting can place views of the same animal in both training and test sets, while deployment further requires transfer to animals captured in future years. We introduce BoviShift, a corpus reconstructed from six consecutive annual cohorts of an operational cattle marketplace collected from 2021 to 2026. It contains 2{,}657 cattle, 10{,}610 still images, and 2{,}566 walk-around videos across nine recorded breed categories. We evaluate three splitting strategies through four configurations: image-random and pooled cattle-disjoint splits over the same development cohorts, followed by separate future-2025 and locked future-2026 evaluations. Using a fixed ResNet-50 multi-task baseline, we assess weight, age, height, breed, and coat color. Differences between image-random and cattle-disjoint splitting are task-dependent rather than a universal leakage penalty. Future-cohort behavior is also attribute- and cohort-specific: breed declines relative to pooled evaluation; mean weight and age performance fails to beat constant baselines in 2025; height remains above baseline; and color transfers well to 2025 but degrades in 2026. Multi-task training improves all five point estimates in a single-seed ablation, still-view aggregation helps selectively, and zero-shot video-frame aggregation exposes a still-to-video domain gap. To our knowledge, BoviShift is the longest-spanning cattle-vision resource combining consecutive annual cohorts with physical and visual attributes.

Abstract: We construct an explicit family of real $m\times n$ restricted isometries with $m\to\infty$, $m/n\to 0$, $δ_k\to 0$, and $k=m^{2/3-o(1)}$. We combine Gershgorin's circle theorem with a flat RIP estimate to reduce the problem to choosing a large vertex set in a strongly regular graph with the property that every small subset spans few edges. We select this vertex set using an incidence geometric result due to Zahl. The proof only uses the entrywise absolute value of the Gram matrix despite the conventional wisdom that such proof techniques exhibit a barrier of $m^{1/2}$. We prove that this barrier is actually $m^{2/3}$, and we show that our particular construction exhibits the same barrier.

Abstract: We show that, given a Horn expression and a family of inclusion-wise maximal satisfiable subsets of its clauses, deciding whether there exists another maximal satisfiable subset is NP-complete. As a consequence, unless P=NP, there is no output-polynomial time algorithm enumerating the maximal satisfiable subformulas of a Horn expression.

Abstract: Preventing human error in physical assembly tasks requires assistance systems that can intervene before mistakes are made. This is especially challenging in settings where users are free to choose the construction order and correctness depends on the evolving assembly rather than a fixed next step. We present TanCRAFT, a four-stage real-time predictive assistance system that tracks the scene state, reasons about the current partial assembly, forecasts the near-future motion of manipulated pieces, and intervenes when the predicted placement is incompatible with the target. We instantiate our framework and confirm its effectiveness in a controlled tangram assembly task through offline benchmarks and a within-subject user study. Our findings show that the predictive feedback significantly reduces mistakes relative to unguided and reactive sessions, while yielding the lowest mean perceived workload and shortest mean completion time. Overall, these results demonstrate the value of predictive feedback for error prevention and provide a step toward cost-aware assistance for automation and human-robot workcells.

Abstract: Visual Question Answering (VQA) imposes substantial computational overhead on vision-language models (VLMs), motivating model-agnostic input reduction methods that can be readily applied across diverse VLMs, including in black-box settings. Simply enforcing a visual-token cap reduces computation, but it can discard information needed to answer the question. A single reduction strategy also struggles to accommodate different scenarios. Our key observation is that cropping and compression are complementary: cropping highlights small targets and local details, whereas whole-image compression better preserves context for large targets or distributed evidence. Based on this observation, we propose C$^2$-Routing, which adaptively selects cropping or compression according to the input image and question. Since both strategies may still discard key information, we further design a safety gate that uses the predicted joint correctness distribution under original and reduced inputs to guide fallback and protect accuracy. To accommodate consumer GPU resource constraints, all training and evaluation experiments run on RTX 3090 GPUs. To measure gains beyond token capping, we use full-image baselines with the same cap of 1,024 visual tokens. We conduct extensive evaluation on three VLMs and 18 datasets spanning local details, global scenes, scene text, and documents. With the visual budget already capped, C$^2$-Routing further reduces end-to-end FLOPs by 36.53% and visual tokens by 42.36% on average, with a mean relative task-score decrease of only 0.77%.

Abstract: We study Bayesian inference of persistence from early observations of a heterogeneous susceptible--infected--susceptible (SIS) reaction--diffusion model with standard incidence. We show that the leading prevalence dynamics depend on the unknown coefficients only through the difference between the transmission and recovery rates and the infected diffusivity. The same pair determines the principal eigenvalue whose sign governs persistence, so early prevalence can inform the threshold even when the individual rates remain uncertain. We prove global weak well-posedness and quantitative parameter stability for the SIS system and use the resulting observation-map estimates to establish Bayesian well-posedness. For an initial infection of size $\varepsilon$, we derive a uniform second-order expansion that describes how the separate rates enter prevalence. Incidence depends explicitly on transmission at leading order. When the noise standard deviation is proportional to $\varepsilon$, we prove $O(\varepsilon)$ convergence in Hellinger distance of the nonlinear posteriors to their low-prevalence limits for both prevalence alone and joint prevalence and incidence data. We bound the principal eigenvalue using the growth rate of the infected $L^2$ norm between two times. This rate gives a lower bound for the full nonlinear system, and the upper bound separates spatial transients from nonlinear saturation. Uniform spectral estimates and bounds on infection size and measurement error give sufficient conditions for persistence and extinction. We also bound the error in posterior persistence probabilities under forward and eigenvalue approximation, accounting for posterior mass near the threshold. Numerical examples illustrate threshold inference and the predicted \(O(\varepsilon)\) convergence of the nonlinear posteriors to their low-prevalence limits in Hellinger distance.

Abstract: Policy optimization is central to language model post-training, yet principled guidance remains limited. We revisit its theoretical foundations to identify algorithms that learn near-optimal policies using total samples and gradient steps governed by the base model's response coverage, a measure of how readily it generates optimal responses. We call such algorithms coverage-preserving. This guarantee captures the goal of amplifying capabilities accessible through sampling from the base model. (1) Coverage collapse. REINFORCE, the basis for PPO and GRPO, can drive the probability of optimal responses to near zero, even as reward improves. This coverage collapse stalls optimization, and convergence can require exponentially many steps despite good initial coverage. The failure arises even with exact gradients and persists under KL regularization to the base model. (2) Reference resets. We show that repeatedly resetting the KL reference to the most recent policy mitigates coverage collapse. We formalize this intervention in Approximate Policy Mirror Descent (APMD), a meta-algorithm that approximately solves a sequence of KL-regularized RL subproblems. APMD enables stronger regularization, making each subproblem easier to solve, while reference resets allow convergence to global optimality. (3) Coverage-preserving algorithms. For softmax linear policies over pretrained features, we use APMD to establish the first global convergence guarantees showing that widely used families of post-training algorithms are coverage-preserving. These include stylized PPO and GRPO variants with explicit KL regularization and reference resets, and squared-loss algorithms that implement them implicitly, including those used to train the Kimi models. These results clarify how regularization, clipping, and objective choice affect the sampling and optimization costs of post-training.

Abstract: Cross-validation estimates predictive performance by repeatedly splitting the data into training and validation sets, fitting the model on the first and evaluating it on the second. Every observation influences the estimate in two roles, through its own evaluation when it is held out and through the models it helps fit when it trains. The random splits determine its weight in each role. From this representation, we prove an exact finite-sample identity for the variance of the cross-validated estimate. For a given splitting scheme with a common training set size, the variance is a function of these weights, with constants of the model, the metric, and the population. It covers metrics averaged over observations, such as mean squared error, and over case--control pairs, such as the AUC. The identity shows which schemes to use. The variance decomposes into sampling variance, which depends only on the training size, and variance due to the random fold splitting, which arises when the weights change from one draw of the splits to the next. K-fold cross-validation, whose weights are equal across observations by design, is therefore variance optimal at first order; Monte Carlo and bootstrap cross-validation are not. The first-order variance of K-fold does not depend on K, and under reasonable conditions on the model leave-one-out has the smallest variance of any K-fold scheme. For the AUC the same holds for leave-pair-out, which evaluates every case--control pair. Finally, we show the cross-validated estimate is asymptotically normal with the identity's full variance. Together, these results provide a general theoretical foundation for inference on cross-validated performance and establish principles for selecting variance-optimal cross-validation designs.

Abstract: We use TabPFN, a recently developed tabular foundation model, to predict three properties of energetic materials: impact sensitivity, decomposition temperature and crystal density. Without any hyperparameter tuning, TabPFN outperforms the best published models for all three properties. It also substantially outperforms a wide range of established machine-learning models, including tuned gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forests and Gaussian processes. This holds both when the models are given hand-crafted molecular descriptors and when they are given learned representations from Chemprop's message-passing neural network. In particular, for all three properties, TabPFN applied to Chemprop's own embedding is more accurate than Chemprop's predictions. TabPFN is also among the fastest models we consider, more than an order of magnitude faster than XGBoost. As TabPFN predicts the entire distribution of the target rather than just a single value, it offers built-in uncertainty quantification, which we compare with the empirical distributions of compounds with repeated measurements. Finally, we interpret the predictions using Shapley values, which rank the features by their importance.

Abstract: UTF-8's role as the de facto encoding standard in language models introduces cross-lingual inequities due to its variable-length design. However, the effect that this encoding choice has on model performance remains largely unexamined. In this work, we investigate how text encoding impacts the performance of byte-level language models, comparing UTF-8 with a wide range of other encoding strategies, including other Unicode-based approaches, language-specific encodings, and our own customized encodings. To facilitate our analysis, we propose Aether: a hybrid encoding scheme that uses script-specific encodings for our target setting while maintaining full Unicode coverage through UTF-8 fallbacks, using this framework to model four orthographically diverse languages. Surprisingly, we find that while languages with information-dense characters (Chinese, Korean) significantly benefit from compressive encodings, languages whose characters carry less information individually (Georgian, Tamil) are largely insensitive to encoding choice. In light of these findings, we argue that text encoding should be a language-specific design decision, rather than a universal default.

Abstract: We study predictive properties of a reflective variant of Solomonoff induction formulated using reflective oracles (Fallenstein et al. 2015, Wyeth et al. 2025). We show that the resulting optimal predictor succeeds against computable predictive strategies that specify only part of the data-generating process. The argument relies on the fact that hypotheses computable from the predictor's own conditional probabilities remain within the reflective hypothesis class. In particular, the predictor learns incomplete models specified by computable interval restrictions on next-bit probabilities. We also establish weighted forms of unbiasedness and calibration. Finally, we discuss whether an optimal predictor's conditional probabilities suffice to compute every hypothesis in the reflective class.

Abstract: Inverse rendering for skin typically relies on offline path tracing to estimate physical properties, which fail to map directly to the approximate shaders utilized in interactive applications, such as game engines. We bridge this gap by directly estimating subsurface scattering parameters tailored for real-time rendering pipelines. We introduce a differentiable Screen-Space Subsurface Scattering (SSSS) framework that enables the joint optimization of spatially varying base textures and scattering distances. To account for local variations in skin thickness, we estimate these parameters across distinct facial regions, generating a blended profile map ready for production runtime engines. Our pipeline utilizes a low-cost, single-light, single-view capture setup designed for accessible and practical appearance acquisition. Optimization is driven by a masked loss function targeting regions where subsurface scattering effects are dominant. We validate our approach on a real-world dataset of $45$ individuals across the Monk Skin Tone Scale, ensuring demographic generalization. Furthermore, we complement this evaluation with synthetic data, a multi-light setup validating our single-light assumption, and a tilted-view configuration confirming angular consistency. Results demonstrate that our method effectively recovers scattering parameters from lightweight inputs, yielding realistic skin appearance directly compatible with standard real-time shaders.